You’re throwing every swing state (and a few that aren’t) at Romney, which I think is extremely wishful thinking. Even in the unlikely event that Romney does win, he won’t win with a larger margin than Bush in ;04.
Overall, I think it is really too close to call and it will be a nail biter down to the end. I think you can claim Co as solid Romney – as this year there are more registered Republican voters than democrats…The independents will decide the race – and this time round – there are not solidly breaking for Obama unlike 2008
I have it as 299 Obama, 239 Romney. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/obama_vs_romney_create_your_own_electoral_college_map.html?map=HI_1,AK_5,FL_7,NH_7,MI_3,VT_1,ME_2,ME2_3,RI_1,NY_1,PA_3,NJ_2,DE_1,MD_1,VA_3,WV_5,OH_3,IN_6,IL_1,CT_2,WI_3,NC_7,DC_1,MA_1,TN_5,AR_5,MO_6,GA_6,SC_6,KY_5,AL_5,LA_5,MS_5,IA_7,MN_3,OK_5,TX_5,NM_2,KS_5,NE_5,NE2_6,SD_6,ND_5,WY_5,MT_7,CO_7,ID_5,UT_5,AZ_7,NV_3,OR_3,WA_2,CA_1
You’re throwing every swing state (and a few that aren’t) at Romney, which I think is extremely wishful thinking. Even in the unlikely event that Romney does win, he won’t win with a larger margin than Bush in ;04.
I’m making my call, and logging it.
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Overall, I think it is really too close to call and it will be a nail biter down to the end. I think you can claim Co as solid Romney – as this year there are more registered Republican voters than democrats…The independents will decide the race – and this time round – there are not solidly breaking for Obama unlike 2008
I think your prediction is about as likely as the NDP trouncing the Bloc in Quebec. It’s not like that could ever happen, right?
Never!