I say it’ll be Romney 338, Obama 200.
Does this 30-second ad look like an advertisement from a winning campaign?
Leads me to this conclusion.
And this, although I’m more like Ronald Reagan and think it’s bad luck to talk about the certainty of winning before it actually happens.
But wow, the president’s campaign has gotten smaller as E-day approaches. Kind of the opposite of what I think a campaign should do.
So yeah, last pre-second debate Gallup has Romney up 51-45 among likely voters, 48-46 among registered voters.
It’s pointed out over at National Review that “in the history of Gallup, no presidential candidate has ever been over 50 percent in mid-October and gone on to lose”.
So either Romney will manage that epic collapse, or he’s going to defeat Barack Obama on November 6th.
I think Obama’s still slightly favoured, even now.
But it’s still also lots of fun watching Andrew Sullivan melt down.