Diplomacy

Posted: February 9, 2012 in Economy? No economies!, I am Canadian!, USA! USA! USA!

Say what you will, Canada has gotten lots of attention lately.

Oliver no longer talks so freely about the environmental critics of the Keystone pipeline; all of Harper’s ministers have been instructed to stop making comments that might be construed as interfering in the American presidential election. But there are other, more diplomatic, ways to send messages. Like going to China with your cabinet members and cutting energy deals with a country that has, as The Globe and Mail in Toronto put it recently, a “thirst for Canadian oil.” Oil, I might add, that may be a little dirtier than the crude that pours forth from the Saudi Arabian desert — that is one of the main reasons environmentalists say they oppose Keystone — but is hardly the environmental disaster many suppose.

I realize that President Obama rejected Keystone because, politically, he had no choice. My guess is that, in his centrist heart of hearts, the president wanted to approve it. But to give the go-ahead before the election was to risk losing the support of the environmentalists who make up an important part of his base. …

Surely, though, what the Keystone decision really represents is the way our poisoned politics damages the country. Environmental concerns notwithstanding, America will be using oil — and lots of it — for the foreseeable future. It is the fundamental means by which we transport ourselves, whether by air, car or truck. Where do we get that oil? Mostly from countries that don’t like us, like Venezuela, which has the world’s second-largest oil reserves. …

In Canada, the Keystone XL controversy has created a surprising new resolve. “Keystone was a transformative turning point in terms of how Harper sees the bilateral relationship,” says Fen Hampson, a professor of international affairs at Carleton University in Ottawa. Instead of blithely assuming the United States would purchase its oil, Canada is now determined to find diverse buyers so it won’t be held hostage by American politics. Hence, the newfound willingness to do business with China. Canada has concluded that it simply can’t expect much from the United States, even on an issue that would seem to be vital to our own interests. …

… Energy is the single most important industry in Canada. Three-quarters of the Canadian public agree with the Harper government’s diversification strategy. China’s “thirst” for oil is hardly going to be deterred by the Sierra Club. And the Harper government views the continued development of the tar sands as a national strategic priority.

Thus, at least one country in North America understands where its national interests lie. Too bad it’s not us.

Well, it’s good to see people figuring this out.

And it’s also good to see Canada’s good-will being valued much higher than it was in the past.

But, well, we’ve got to pursue our own interests. And if America won’t play ball, by gum, the Chinese will.

Comments
  1. MarkCh says:

    And too bad Obama’s base is people opposed to the vital interests of the US

  2. Alan says:

    And too bad we are now so quick to jump into bed with the first tyrant with cash. Funny how little is left of the great Reform. But, as you say, why deal with the reluctant Left when you can deal with communists who turn machine guns on their own.

  3. The Tiger says:

    Alan, it’s business.

    If Canadian oil is so terrible for the Americans, well, I guess the tyrant with cash is who’ll pay cash and carry it.

    And the Left isn’t reluctant — it’s absolutely intransigent. We’ve got their answer, and we’re accepting it. All waiting would do is draw out the filibuster.

    Let’s get that pipeline built and that sludge flowing!

  4. Alan says:

    Remind me of “it’s business” next time you have any pretense of ideological superiority. This is no different than ethical asbestos.

    • The Tiger says:

      Not quite as bad as that.

      But Canada has no eternal allies. Only eternal interests.

      Our friends weren’t there for us. So we go elsewhere.

  5. MarkCh says:

    Anyway, the more China gets its oil from us, the more leverage we have over them if we should ever need it.

  6. Chris Taylor says:

    I’m with Alan on this one. Aside from the human rights and democratic concerns, it still isn’t in our long-term interests. (Short-term? Sure, cash flow is always nice.) China is almost the last place that we should be selling oil to. Their economy is a giant superheated bubble, they have a nationalist chip on their shoulder to rival Bismarck, and are all but guaranteed to blunder into a hugely wasteful contest of arms in the next 30 years to decide whether the Pacific is a Chinese lake or an American one.

    Unless we want them to come out on top in that contest, we probably shouldn’t be doing things to prolong the life and health of the autocratic regime that runs the place.

    • The Tiger says:

      If the Americans aren’t willing to drill their own oil or buy ours, the outcome of that contest is a foregone conclusion anyway.

      • Alan says:

        Seems to me Japan may have some energy needs that need addressing. What about India? China is not the only prospective customer. Why is Harper lining them us as the first and best?

        • The Tiger says:

          Bargaining power.

          It’s setting off the klieg lights in Washington DC right now, as you can see.

          • Alan says:

            That is crazy girlfriend bargaining power. “If you don’t do X I will stop dating you and go out with the biggest meanest guy I can find.” If I was the USA I would say good luck and put all my $$ in the Gulf and fracking.

          • The Tiger says:

            They should be doing that anyway.

            Lot of oil off-shore, and if you don’t force companies to drill in crazy deep water, our technology is sufficient to deal with any problems…

        • MichaelB says:

          Japan is a very good point. I’d bet money that Japan will end up buying more oil going through the Northern Gateway pipeline than anyone else. They’re closer on the map and they would be very very very happy not to have virtually all their oil imported through the straights of Malacca and Formosa.

  7. Mark Ch says:

    Giving the Americans a complacency-breaking shock now is the best thing we can do to keep China from gaining the upper hand.

  8. Chris Taylor says:

    Re: crazy girlfriend bargaining power—it certainly worked well enough in Quebec and Caledonia. If the other party is spineless enough, it works.

    Which is not to say I endorse it, but it has had notable successes. This might (arguably) be one of them.

  9. D. French says:

    Harper is turning Obama into an economic cuckold simply because the latter wanted some rough foreplay.

    This bodes will for the Republican Party.

  10. Alan says:

    When in Rome, speak like a Roman: “Harper used a keynote speech here Friday to slam the “foreign money and influence” behind critics of Canada’s oil sands even as he welcomed Chinese investment in Canada’s energy sector.” The tyrant would recognize the rhetorical technique.

    http://www.thestar.com/news/canada/politics/article/1129120–harper-in-china-pm-blasts-foreign-money-in-oilands-debate-while-welcoming-china