Strong Stable Majority
Rock-solid consensus of Quebec commentators: Harper is doing everything to alienate Qc voters. CPC in 2nd place in Qc http://bit.ly/yqW9Js
Released Tuesday, the poll shows the Conservatives with 39 per cent support of decided voters, the NDP have 28 per cent and the Liberals are at 22 per cent followed by the Bloc at six per cent and Elizabeth May’s Green Party with five per cent support.
Mr. Canseco says the Liberal momentum is due, in part, to the recent Liberal Party biennial policy convention that featured wall-to-wall news coverage for Interim leader Rae and the party.
And he notes that Mr. Rae’s approval rating at 35 per cent is much higher than what was posted by former leaders Stephane Dion and Michael Ignatieff. However, it is below that of Prime Minister Harper, whose rating is 43 per cent. Ms. Turmel has a rating of 32 per cent.
Regionally, the poll shows the Conservatives leading in Alberta and Ontario with 65 and 42 per cent respectively. The Liberals are in second place in Ontario with 29 per cent and the NDP have the support of 24 per cent of respondents.
This is what one wants — Harper’s support holding steady, and the opposition roiled — the third-place party’s leader has higher ratings than the second-place party’s leader.
That’s a formula that worked fine for the CPC from 2007 through 2011.
It would be preferable to see PM Harper motoring along with, say, 45-46% of voting intentions, but 39% will do quite nicely between elections. (As Tory numbers always run up during a writ drop period.)